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DHT: 10CSV

02 May 2022 · 15:00

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.0%
Altrincham
22.7%
Draw
64.3%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Altrincham

vs
1.93

Barnet

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).