Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Como
25.6%
Draw
17.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Como
vs
0.89
Perugia
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).