Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
St Johnstone
31.2%
Draw
29.1%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
St Johnstone
vs
0.94
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).