Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Auxerre
21.8%
Draw
21.3%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Auxerre
vs
0.94
Angers
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).