Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Cesena
27.7%
Draw
28.3%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Cesena
vs
1.18
Crotone
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).