Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Atherstone Town
15.2%
Draw
11.7%
Kidsgrove Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Atherstone Town
vs
0.97
Kidsgrove Athletic
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
5-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).