Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Sheffield Weds
24.5%
Draw
25.4%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.94
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).