Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Parma
20.6%
Draw
11.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Parma
vs
0.78
Crotone
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).