Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Holstein Kiel
29.2%
Draw
40.5%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.36
Hertha
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).