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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.4%
Westfield
21.1%
Draw
62.5%
Thatcham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Westfield

vs
1.90

Thatcham Town

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).