Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Oviedo
25.4%
Draw
20.7%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Oviedo
vs
0.85
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).