Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
West Brom
27.6%
Draw
15.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
West Brom
vs
0.76
Leicester
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).