Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.2%
Porto
9.7%
Draw
3.2%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Porto
vs
0.36
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.8%
3-0
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
4-0
10.7%
2-1
6.1%
5-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
0-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).