Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.4%
Milton United
3.7%
Draw
94.9%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Milton United
vs
4.39
Bury
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.586.9%
Over 3.572.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
11.2%
0-3
10.2%
0-5
9.8%
0-2
7.0%
1-4
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-5
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.2%
1-1
1.7%
2-4
1.7%
2-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).