Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Colchester
26.0%
Draw
35.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Colchester
vs
1.22
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).