Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Jagiellonia Białystok
20.4%
Draw
15.2%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.04
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).