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10 Mar 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
Partick
30.9%
Draw
22.5%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Partick

vs
0.93

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).