Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Como
25.2%
Draw
16.8%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Como
vs
0.86
Spal
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).