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DHT: 11CSV

25 Sept 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.3%
Como
25.0%
Draw
15.7%
Benevento

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Como

vs
0.82

Benevento

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).