Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Sheffield Wednesday
31.7%
Draw
47.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.25
Oxford
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).