Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Malaga
24.5%
Draw
17.9%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Malaga
vs
0.77
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).