Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Darlington
11.8%
Draw
79.5%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Darlington
vs
3.19
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.560.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-4
6.5%
0-4
6.3%
0-1
4.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-3
4.2%
1-5
4.2%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).