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23 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Stockport
23.3%
Draw
33.8%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Stockport

vs
1.39

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).