Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Stafford Town
25.2%
Draw
54.7%
Worksop Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Stafford Town
vs
1.52
Worksop Town
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).