Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Sassuolo
21.8%
Draw
16.2%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Sassuolo
vs
0.81
Verona
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).