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02 May 2026 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Blackburn
28.8%
Draw
31.6%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Blackburn

vs
1.18

Leicester

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).