Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
QPR
30.9%
Draw
26.3%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
QPR
vs
0.93
Charlton
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).