Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Elfsborg
21.1%
Draw
25.4%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Elfsborg
vs
1.62
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS73.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).