Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Fulham
18.2%
Draw
10.2%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Fulham
vs
0.80
Preston
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).