Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Palermo
29.1%
Draw
29.7%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Palermo
vs
1.14
Parma
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).