Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Yeni Malatyaspor
18.5%
Draw
75.8%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
2.45
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.9%
0-3
11.3%
0-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).