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HHT: 11CSV

10 May 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Concarneau
22.5%
Draw
49.6%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Concarneau

vs
1.66

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).