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AHT: 11CSV

19 May 2021 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
West Brom
30.7%
Draw
34.8%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

West Brom

vs
1.24

West Ham

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).