Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Besiktas
23.4%
Draw
9.6%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Besiktas
vs
0.74
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).