Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Trapani
30.1%
Draw
26.1%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Trapani
vs
0.98
Perugia
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).