Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Lille
15.8%
Draw
11.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Lille
vs
0.80
Troyes
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).