Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Granada
24.3%
Draw
32.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Granada
vs
1.32
Almeria
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).