Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Clermont
25.4%
Draw
27.9%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Clermont
vs
0.98
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).