Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Hammarby
33.4%
Draw
44.2%
Mjällby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Hammarby
vs
1.17
Mjällby
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.9%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
14.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).