Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Numancia
28.6%
Draw
30.0%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Numancia
vs
0.99
Albacete
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).