Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Dijon
23.3%
Draw
44.5%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Dijon
vs
1.58
Metz
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).