Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Alaves
30.8%
Draw
41.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Alaves
vs
1.15
Celta
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).