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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Pau FC

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Atherton Laburnum Rovers
27.3%
Draw
47.9%
Pau FC

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Atherton Laburnum Rovers

vs
1.33

Pau FC

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).