⚽ FootballData
2 – 5
AHT: 12CSV

30 Oct 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
11.9%
Dover Athletic
21.7%
Draw
66.4%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Dover Athletic

vs
2.01

Stockport

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).