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20 Jul 2025 · 15:00

Rostov

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.5%
Zenit
22.9%
Draw
6.6%
Rostov

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Zenit

vs
0.39

Rostov

Markets

BTTS27.8%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.4%
2-0
18.0%
0-0
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
4-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-0
1.7%
1-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).