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04 Aug 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Rosenborg
26.1%
Draw
38.9%
Tromsø

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Rosenborg

vs
1.34

Tromsø

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).