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16 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Stenhousemuir
36.3%
Draw
29.5%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.92

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.9%
1-1
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).