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19 Sept 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Denizlispor
25.4%
Draw
59.0%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Denizlispor

vs
2.07

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
0-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).