Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Barnsley
22.2%
Draw
64.9%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Barnsley
vs
1.98
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).