Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Porto
34.5%
Draw
32.4%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Porto
vs
0.91
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.1%
0-3
2.0%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).